Running the numbers

There have been some shifts in the numbers in the news today.  There was a dip in New Hampshire’s support for Obama in the last few days but now he appears to be up by 12.4 points now.  We have a new ‘toss up’ state in Georgia where support for McCain is waning.  Indiana and Montana are both still on the fence but leaning more for McCain as far as we can tell.  The 3 point margin of error makes these fence dwellers particularly interesting.  Missouri, North Carolina and Florida all appear to be headed for Obama.  Florida is still the one to watch with 27 electoral votes.  Obama has 311 electoral votes in his column at the moment so Florida isn’t going to swing the election this year from the looks of things, but it may impact how big the win is.  Here in Virginia Obama is ahead by 7.6 points, which is pretty amazing considering how strongly Republican the small towns are, balanced by the Democratic majority in the more populated areas.    

I’m having my parents and my brother and sister in law and their children over for dinner Saturday evening.  And at that meal it will be 4 for McCain and 2 for Obama.  It should be an interesting evening.